draft · current risk score is a first attempt, yet to be refined.

creator metrics

2 min readmetropolx
  • creators
  • alerts
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next to the risk rating, every launch alert shows the creator's raw track record: plain counts over every token the wallet launched before, no smoothing, no weighting. the rating tells you what we think, the metrics let you check.

what an alert shows

created by:
0x1234…abcd

graduated:        average survival:
3/12 (25%)        1d 6h 0m
  • created by : the creator's full wallet address, linking to their nad.fun profile
  • graduated and average survival : the creator's record, below
  • first launch instead of the record, when the wallet never launched before

graduation rate

graduated=earlier launches that graduatedearlier launches\text{graduated} = \frac{\text{earlier launches that graduated}}{\text{earlier launches}}

every earlier launch counts, including ones launched minutes ago that had no chance to graduate yet. a burst of fresh launches drags the rate down, on purpose: that's what a spray-and-pray creator looks like.

a graduation after a community takeover (CTO) is not the creator's credit and does not count.

average survival

how long the creator's tokens kept trading, on average. for each earlier launch:

survival=min⁡(end of last traded day, now)−launch time\text{survival} = \min(\text{end of last traded day},\ \text{now}) - \text{launch time}
  • read from daily candles: a token that traded on a given day survived until the end of that day
  • a token that never traded survived 0
  • a token still trading counts up to now, so a creator's live tokens keep raising the average
  • tokens without candle data are skipped

a short average survival across many launches is the classic rug pattern: launch, dump, move on.

metrics vs rating

the same history feeds both, read two ways:

metricsrating
launches countedevery earlier launchonly those with a known outcome (24 h / 48 h old)
ageevery launch weighs the samerecent launches weigh more (60-day half-life)
small recordsas is: 1/1 shows 100%pulled toward the launchpad base rate
survivalaverage time tradedshare still trading a day later
launch pace–serial launching factor

so a creator at 1/1 (100%) rates around 28, low but far from 0: one graduation is not a track record yet.

graduation alerts

graduation alerts carry no creator metrics, the token already proved itself. they come with a 🟪 purple border, the metropolx primary #6E54FF, and show:

  • the token and its new pool address
  • time to graduate : from launch to graduation, e.g. 3h 12m
  • a link to the graduation transaction